Welcome!
I’m Hanyao, a sixth-year PhD student in economics at Columbia University, where I have the privilege of being advised by Professor Mark Dean. I received my BA from Peking University in 2020. You can find my CV here.
I will be on the job market for the 2025-26 cycle.
I mainly work on behavioral economics, where I employ experimental methods to test theories of human decision making, especially under uncertainty.
- Email: hanyao.zhang at columbia.edu
- Address: 420 W 118th St., New York, NY 10027
Working Papers
- Calculations Behind Lottery Valuations
Abstract
I introduce a novel experimental design tracking subjects' calculations when valuing lotteries. Subjects' calculations predominantly fall into three groups: expected values, linear functions of potential monetary outcomes, or expressions that cannot be matched to primitives of the lotteries. Across different tasks, the calculations exhibit remarkable within-subject stability alongside substantial between-subject heterogeneity. Calculations strongly predict valuations: subjects performing calculations related to the expected values (38.1%) exhibit near risk-neutrality, while others' (61.9%) valuations on average display extreme unresponsiveness to probability changes. Finally, an analysis by calculation group reveals that distinct theoretical mechanisms drive these behaviors: the adoption of expected-value calculations is explained by a reduction in implementation costs from the provided calculator, while attribute substitution (Kahneman and Frederick, 2002) explains the linear functions of potential monetary outcomes.
Works in Progress
Response Noise Structure and Risk Attitudes (draft coming soon)
Computation Complexity, Elicitation Methods, and Lottery Valuations, with Mark Dean (draft coming soon)
Reference-Dependent Motivated Beliefs, with Zhi Hao Lim
Publication
- Positive and Negative Sorting in Team Contest, with Qiang Fu, Zenan Wu, and Yangfan Zhou, Journal of Industrial Economics, 2024